Volkswagen has built a self-driving VW Golf that can plan its own routes in real time around obstructions and traffic cones, then race through the route at up to 150mph -- no creeping around the test course at 10mph here. VW claims it can drive a laid-out test course faster and more precisely than their own engineers can drive the car manually. VW says features of the car will be appearing in production VWs "in a few years".
Now THIS could cut down on traffic fatalities -- and maybe traffic congestion too.
(Thanks to midiamin for the out-of-band pointer.)
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maybe I've read one too many Heinlein short stories about how the automated/robotic piloted vehicles just don't have that human element... but I don't think I'll ever fully trust that sort of thing.
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Shortly after this becomes possible, it will be come mandatory.
Bleah.
-Ogre
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Maybe we can convince the fundies that auto-driving cars are possessed by the devil, and they'll keep it from being mandated! :P
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Then again, I'd prefer to get most traffic off the ground altogether.
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(.... to get me up to my starship.)
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Frankly, there are a hell of a lot of people out on the roads whom I feel shouldn't have licenses. The US accepts a shockingly poor level of driving competence as adequate.
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I'm an aggressively defensive driver... I trust my own instincts to avoid those horrid drivers you mentioned above fairly well. I avoid accidents on a regular basis because I don't just drive 'defensively' but rather 'paranoidly' - I'm convinced that the moron isn't going to stop for that light/stop sign/other moron and so I manage to avoid him when he doesn't.
But what happens when the computer-driven car gets locked up? emergency reboot? that could be fricking dangerous.
I'm reminded of that joke email that went around years back about microsoft v. ford... http://www.usd.edu/~bwjames/humor/ms/microsoftcars.html
If you built in a manual override (which would be the only way I'd feel safe) the morons you mentioned would be the first to utilize it.
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Yeah, but your computer -- like 95% of the other personal computers out there -- is built from bottom-dollar commodity components engineered for low price, not for reliability, because the manufacturers figure it doesn't really matter if it fails -- you'll just buy another. To make matters worse, almost all of those personal computers are running a festering pile of insecure-by-design compiler turds scarcely worthy of being dignified with the title of "operating system", produced by a software company that thinks it's perfectly acceptable for an operating system to crash multiple times a day and has only just now -- after over twenty years -- grasped that malware is a serious problem. (At least, it's currently making mouth noises that suggest it may have finally grasped that. Only time will tell.)
A self-driving car has to be reliable, and it has to work every time. Just like the engine control computer that's probably in the car you have now does. Can you imagine the lawsuits if Volkswagen put a car on the market with an autodrive system that was as unreliable as Windows?
No auto manufacturer will put a car on the road with an autodriving system that isn't as close to 100% reliable as they can possibly make it. Because they know that the very first time it fails and causes an accident, they're going to get sued, and it's going to hurt.
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After all, unless you're driving a car that is totally manual, you're already depending on computers to keep your engine running, shift for you, intermediate between your steering wheel and your tires, and in some newer cars work the brakes. So I don't wanna hear about how "I don't trust computers in cars."
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At that, though, I'd installed a Purolator breakerless electronic ignition with a Hall-effect sensor and a trigger ring in the distributor, so it was no longer EMP-hard anyway.
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The most important part of this comes from a study of traffic patterns. Traffic models well as a gas. For most gaper blocks and traffic slowdown, the entire incident could be cleared in as little as ten minutes if one car in six (maybe five) had the radar sensing braking and acceleration. That would be enough to restore laminar flow to chaos. (I think I read this in "Science", but it has been a while, and I can't be sure.)
That means that even though I will never be able to afford a car with these features, I will be able to reap the benefits when 16% - 20% of drivers have it. (I hate to drive!)
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