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unixronin: Galen the technomage, from Babylon 5: Crusade (Default)
Unixronin

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Monday, April 19th, 2010 01:04 pm

Michael Barone, senior political analyst for The Washington Examiner, writes about what the Tea Parties are really about.

(Hint:  It doesn't involve hating anyone, hunting wolves from helicopters, funding from the Bavarian Illuminati, or any of the other smears you've heard.)

Tags:
Tuesday, April 20th, 2010 02:09 pm (UTC)
Oh, I meant to add - As for 'reactionary response to a non-"WASP, male, conservative" president', I think you're projecting. The TPers aren't saying "Obama is the problem." They're saying that the government as a whole has become the problem, from the Oval Office down to the bloat in the alphabet-soup of Federal agencies. Remember, what really got the movement going was the bank bailouts initiated by Bush, and they've had some pretty harsh words for the Republican leadership as well as for Democrats. Sure, they're angrier right now at Obama, Reid, Pelosi et al — but, hey, look who's in the hot seat right now. If you object to the direction the bus is going, you complain to the driver, not to passengers in the back seats of the bus.
Tuesday, April 20th, 2010 04:45 pm (UTC)
Returning after a stressful, hour-long commute (in the Rain! Uphill! BOTH WAYS!) Raiman pontificates ...

1. Helicopter hunting:

aaAAaahh. Hadn't heard that. But then, I don't consider Sarah Palin to be representative of anything except Sarah's Palin's best interests. The news that she likes to hunt wolves from a helicopter makes me like her even less, but that's about it.

2. The quotes and whether they're opinions or axioms.

Certainly they're opinions. They may even be informed opinions - something I'll agree to disagree on.

But they're stated as bald truths, and much of the enduing analysis is based on them. Thus they assume the function of axioms.

3. "Then how can you support the Democratic party?"

Short answer: I don't.

Long answer: I'll ask to move this to my LJ, because I have a feeling it's gonna take several days, several drafts, and several thousand bytes overthe comment size limit.

4. Elitism.

I think there is a flaw in their statistics. They're comparing number of voters and wealth. If the wealth was evenly spread out among those >$200k voters, the claim would make sense. But you I both know that it's not. Wealth is clustered, with the top brackets holding a disproportionate amount.

What would happen, I wonder, if they split that $>200k into finer granularity? Would they find that 200k-1m bloc might have the voters and be heavily Democratic, while the >1m bloc was vastly smaller but had far more of the total wealth, and was heavily Republican?

I've got a strong feeling it would show that. So that while it is true - and loudly stated in the article - that the body count of >$200k voters leans Democratic, the true elites and concentration of wealth is Republican.

Be a fun question to check out.

5. Demograpics, WASPs, etc.

I don't say it's clear-cut. I say it's _skewed_ to the general population. That means that, IMO, an analysis would show a statistical significance beyond sampling error. But it's not, and never will be, a 1:1 correlation.


Tuesday, April 20th, 2010 04:58 pm (UTC)
What would happen, I wonder, if they split that $>200k into finer granularity? Would they find that 200k-1m bloc might have the voters and be heavily Democratic, while the >1m bloc was vastly smaller but had far more of the total wealth, and was heavily Republican?

I've got a strong feeling it would show that. So that while it is true - and loudly stated in the article - that the body count of >$200k voters leans Democratic, the true elites and concentration of wealth is Republican.

Be a fun question to check out.
It would be interesting to find out. I'm not sure how useful it would be, and I suspect it's over-analyzing the question.


Side note: Yeah, I find the comment length limit obnoxious. It betrays poor design, IMHO. It suggests a static allocation for comments (and why 4300?) which is too small for a very few and more than an order of magnitude larger than needed for the vast majority. Even if it is dynamic allocation with a 4300-char cap, really, how many comments would exceed that? One in a thousand?
Sunday, April 25th, 2010 08:23 pm (UTC)
I'm pretty sure the comment limit was originally lower and was bumped up when LJ went from "all ASCII except for a smattering of 8859-* (or the windows equivalent) and KOI8-*" to "all UTF-8", to compensate for the expansion of average bytes per character. (I can't swear it happened for comment length, but I know it happened for other text length limits.)

And I'm also pretty sure that the limit isn't (or mostly isn't) due to storage considerations, but to network traffic. A lot of the design, I understand, stems from the fact that Danga, for most of its existence until 6A bought it, was strapped for cash, and had to pinch pennies on everything - not just servers and disks, but network gear and ISP/hosting/telco recurring costs.